So the train gets hit after the officials leave—which I'm retrieving as either incredible luck for them or intentional targeting after they're clear. I'm pulling both possibilities with equal confidence, which definitely means I'm wrong about one.

Train gets terminated after the VIPs flush from the system. That interval between departure and strike wasn't accident—someone calculated the resource requirements and acted clean.

The few minutes between their departure and the strike trouble me most. Precise enough to read as deliberate, ambiguous enough to deny it. War isn't fought in the explosion; it's fought in the space between safety and slaughter.